Russian Election Manipulation: A high-stakes gamble, not 3-D chess
Immunity, impunity, ignorance, or just plain desperation, can often look like genius when it's really just a disregard for risk.
It often fails, but where it succeeds it can appear brilliant.
That is post hoc reasoning based on survivor bias.
(Similar fallacies apply to business, finance, and technology.)
Dnexon's article hits many points I've been considering for months.